Monday, July 19, 2010

tracking personal finances




Five Best Personal Money Management Sites





Web-based financial management tools have grown in sophistication to the point where many people manage their entire financial lives with online tools. Here's a look at five of the most popular personal money management sites.

Photo a mashup of images by Leonardini and Wilton.


Earlier this week we asked you to share your favorite personal money management site; now we're back to highlight the five most popular contenders.


Click on the screenshots below to take a closer look.


Buxfer (Basic: Free, Premium: From $2.79/month)


Many people are hesitant to use online banking services because of security concerns. Buxfer's compromise to provide ease of use while also assuring users and keeping things as controlled as they would like is to offer multiple methods for storing your credentials. You can manually synchronize your financial accounts with the site, you can store your passwords and login credentials locally using Google Gears, Firefox, or Safari, or you can use the Firebux Firefox extension—Firebux helps you automate the process of downloading financial data from your banking institutions and reviewing Buxfer data. If you'd like to skip the hassle of handling your own syncing, Buxfer offers automatic nightly syncing of your financial data, automatically logging into and pulling data from your various online money portals. Buxfer comes in three flavors: Basic (free), Plus ($2.79 per month), and Pro ($3.79 per month). All accounts include features like split bills, automatic tagging, and mobile access, but you'll pay a premium for unlimited budgets, bill reminders, and balance projections. You can try a live demo of Buxfer here.


Yodlee MoneyCenter (Free)


As many readers were quick to point out, Yodlee provides the guts to the user sites for hundreds of banking and financial services. Organizations like Mint, Thrive, and large banks like Chase use rebranded but Yodlee-powered interfaces. Yodlee users will often characterize Yodlee as similar to Mint, but without such a strong emphasis on flashy graphics. Instead it focuses more on analyzing your raw data—transaction descriptions, for example, are easier to search and more detailed. Yodlee can import data from thousands of institutions, help you generate a budget, automate your bill paying, and send out user-defined alerts. If you like the idea of a site like Mint but want more fine-grained control and the ability to manually tweak things when necessary, Yodlee is a solid alternative.


Mint (Free)


Mint has risen to prominence as a major player among web-based financial management tools by putting an extreme emphasis on user-friendliness and automation. The focus on automation is so strong, in fact, they only recently added the ability to add in any sort of manual transactions. By providing Mint with your various logins, you can track all your financial accounts in one place—checking, savings, credit cards, investments—and easily generate budgets and projections based off your data. Mint has won many people over, especially in the younger demographic, by being the first tool they've used to really get a good look at their money and where it's going.


ClearCheckbook (Basic: Free, Premium: $4/month)




ClearCheckbook is a web-based checking account ledger on steroids. You can track your spending, input your daily expenses from the web-interface or from your iPhone, Android, or Palm, and generate a budget with spending limits. Upgrading to a premium account gets you a custom report tool, custom transaction fields, future balance projection, and editing of the auto-suggest feature. Visit ClearCheckbook at the link above to check out the video tours of both the free and premium accounts—available at the bottom of the main page.


Mvelopes ($39.60/quarter)


Mvelopes is a robust web-based financial tool built on the old principle of budgeting with envelopes—each budget category gets an envelope with a set amount of money. Its focus on an old budgeting technique, however, doesn't mean you're stuck with dated tools. Mvelopes automatically pulls transaction data from hundreds of financial institutions, supports automatic bill payment, and helps you generate snapshots of your net worth as you adjust your budget and goals. Mvelopes is notable for being the only contender in the Hive without a free account option, a testament perhaps to how happy people are with the service that it made an appearance in the top five despite the lack of free-as-in-beer option.



Now that you've had a chance to look over the top five contenders for best personal money management sites, it's time to cast a vote for your favorite:





Have a favorite web-based tool that didn't get a nod or want to talk up your favorite a bit more? Let's hear it in the comments. Have an idea for the next Hive Five? Send us an email at tips@lifehacker.com with "Hive Five" in the subject line and we'll do our best to get your idea the attention it deserves.





Send an email to Jason Fitzpatrick, the author of this post, at jason@lifehacker.com.






Five Best Personal Money Management Sites





Web-based financial management tools have grown in sophistication to the point where many people manage their entire financial lives with online tools. Here's a look at five of the most popular personal money management sites.

Photo a mashup of images by Leonardini and Wilton.


Earlier this week we asked you to share your favorite personal money management site; now we're back to highlight the five most popular contenders.


Click on the screenshots below to take a closer look.


Buxfer (Basic: Free, Premium: From $2.79/month)


Many people are hesitant to use online banking services because of security concerns. Buxfer's compromise to provide ease of use while also assuring users and keeping things as controlled as they would like is to offer multiple methods for storing your credentials. You can manually synchronize your financial accounts with the site, you can store your passwords and login credentials locally using Google Gears, Firefox, or Safari, or you can use the Firebux Firefox extension—Firebux helps you automate the process of downloading financial data from your banking institutions and reviewing Buxfer data. If you'd like to skip the hassle of handling your own syncing, Buxfer offers automatic nightly syncing of your financial data, automatically logging into and pulling data from your various online money portals. Buxfer comes in three flavors: Basic (free), Plus ($2.79 per month), and Pro ($3.79 per month). All accounts include features like split bills, automatic tagging, and mobile access, but you'll pay a premium for unlimited budgets, bill reminders, and balance projections. You can try a live demo of Buxfer here.


Yodlee MoneyCenter (Free)


As many readers were quick to point out, Yodlee provides the guts to the user sites for hundreds of banking and financial services. Organizations like Mint, Thrive, and large banks like Chase use rebranded but Yodlee-powered interfaces. Yodlee users will often characterize Yodlee as similar to Mint, but without such a strong emphasis on flashy graphics. Instead it focuses more on analyzing your raw data—transaction descriptions, for example, are easier to search and more detailed. Yodlee can import data from thousands of institutions, help you generate a budget, automate your bill paying, and send out user-defined alerts. If you like the idea of a site like Mint but want more fine-grained control and the ability to manually tweak things when necessary, Yodlee is a solid alternative.


Mint (Free)


Mint has risen to prominence as a major player among web-based financial management tools by putting an extreme emphasis on user-friendliness and automation. The focus on automation is so strong, in fact, they only recently added the ability to add in any sort of manual transactions. By providing Mint with your various logins, you can track all your financial accounts in one place—checking, savings, credit cards, investments—and easily generate budgets and projections based off your data. Mint has won many people over, especially in the younger demographic, by being the first tool they've used to really get a good look at their money and where it's going.


ClearCheckbook (Basic: Free, Premium: $4/month)




ClearCheckbook is a web-based checking account ledger on steroids. You can track your spending, input your daily expenses from the web-interface or from your iPhone, Android, or Palm, and generate a budget with spending limits. Upgrading to a premium account gets you a custom report tool, custom transaction fields, future balance projection, and editing of the auto-suggest feature. Visit ClearCheckbook at the link above to check out the video tours of both the free and premium accounts—available at the bottom of the main page.


Mvelopes ($39.60/quarter)


Mvelopes is a robust web-based financial tool built on the old principle of budgeting with envelopes—each budget category gets an envelope with a set amount of money. Its focus on an old budgeting technique, however, doesn't mean you're stuck with dated tools. Mvelopes automatically pulls transaction data from hundreds of financial institutions, supports automatic bill payment, and helps you generate snapshots of your net worth as you adjust your budget and goals. Mvelopes is notable for being the only contender in the Hive without a free account option, a testament perhaps to how happy people are with the service that it made an appearance in the top five despite the lack of free-as-in-beer option.



Now that you've had a chance to look over the top five contenders for best personal money management sites, it's time to cast a vote for your favorite:





Have a favorite web-based tool that didn't get a nod or want to talk up your favorite a bit more? Let's hear it in the comments. Have an idea for the next Hive Five? Send us an email at tips@lifehacker.com with "Hive Five" in the subject line and we'll do our best to get your idea the attention it deserves.





Send an email to Jason Fitzpatrick, the author of this post, at jason@lifehacker.com.




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QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions is a very unique and versatile information system. Standing alone, the systems functions depict that of an executive information system as well as a management information system. With the purchase of additional software QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions also supports transactional processing, streamlining virtually all business processes to a single origin. Detailed information of the benefits of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions will be described further within this purchase proposal, as my associates and I (we) believe this would be a key investment decision that would have a strong influence on increasing the efficiency and overall profit level of the firm from its current state. For information regarding the producing company Intuit, a breakdown of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions into the five components of a standard of information systems, and a case study of a real world application of this proposed system; please refer to appendices A, B, and C respectively.

QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions is a system tailored to meet the needs of small to medium sized businesses. The system also has the capacity to uphold internal stability as businesses grow. Given the current size of our firm, as well as the 20% annual growth rate for the next 5 years which was received from the Department of Finance, there is assurance that full use will be made of this investment.

QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions also suits every aspect of our business needs as a retailer, along with a full range of other industries if the firm ever sought to expand into different areas, such as manufacturing our own product line, or providing professional services to our customers.

Initial pricing of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions is prorated depending on the number of simultaneous users needed by the firm, as follows:

5 users for $3,000
10 users for $5,000
15 users for $7,000
20 users for $9,000

After the initial purchase, which then enrolls the buyer into the "Full Service Plan", there is a yearly fee, which varies with current user requirements:

5 users for $750
10 users for $1,200
15 users for $1,600
20 users for $2,000

The number of simultaneous users decided at purchase can be upgraded if needed at any point in time. There is also a piece of add-on software by Intuit that would directly correlate as well as fully integrate with our processes and this system. This software, called QuickBooks Merchant Services, is a POS processing system that goes hand-in-hand with Enterprise Solutions, as well as our industry of retail. Not only is it compatible, but also the costs associated with using this POS by Intuit versus our current system are considerably lower, which would save the company up to a minimum of $2,000 annually.

There are different editions of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions, such as QuickBooks Pro. These editions however are designed for very small firms with no intention of expanding and do not suit the goals of our firm. Also, unlike these smaller versions, QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions offers a vast amount of industry specific, built-in, and customizable reporting solutions for upper level management and executives. These many reports, ranging from in-depth financial analysis to inventory to retail specific, offer immense insight into a detailed look of how the business is functioning. The system also allows the exportation of reports to Microsoft Excel if there is a need to perform a more extensive analysis.

QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions also offers quite a few security features. Secure password protection and data input tracking allow executives to be sure only those with proper authority are accessing and modifying important internal data. Limited access is another high-end security feature within this system; it allows access to be limited so certain users can only access information relevant to them. These features eliminate most possibilities of accidental and intentional disruptions of secure data and help keep the system and the business running smoothly.

Yet another benefit to QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions is the fact that it does not require professional installation. The installation process itself is rather quite simple. Upon purchase, and enrollment in previously stated Full Service Plan, the buyer receives a free 6-disk Enterprise Solutions training course. This course can be implemented at the company's own pace, and on their own time. It eliminates costs associated with outsourcing, and the need to bring in a 3rd party for installation and/or training.

Problems may arise during training and installation; in such cases, Intuit and the Full Service Plan offer several methods of resolution. Every customer that purchases Enterprise Solutions is assigned a dedicated support team, which includes QuickBooks specialists who are on call 24/7 to assist in the resolution of any problem that may arise, be it from data migration or other technical issue. Software updates are another issue, and Intuit has their bases covered. The developers of Enterprise Solutions provide online updates via the QuickBooks website so firms can get their entire system updated with a single download quickly and easily.

Once QuickBooks Enterprise Solutionsis up and running, companies may find they need more applications to manage unique business processes, such as a web component for e-commerce management. Intuit's website provides links to hundreds of 3rd party software designers with products that integrate perfectly with Enterprise Solutions. One such component is the IBiz QuickBooks Integrator. This application is a development tool created by /n software that in-house developers use to update and maintain a web presence and e-commerce website. The Integrator uses preformatted methods to reduce the time it takes to write mundane lines of code, which in turn increases efficiency. It also functions as a remote access tool so users of the system can access the data while traveling. This piece of software starts at $599.

We believe QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions encompasses every needed aspect of the business and its most efficient operation. While we have no recommendations of attributes to increase value, provided below is an extensive report on the competitive advantages of adopting QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions.

QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions provides value not only to the firm internally, but to its customers as well, and greatly increases the worth of the firm by bringing it to the cutting edge of the market. In using QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions our firm could create new services for our customers; such as more appealing financing plans for our expensive line of products or could reduce rates on our current plans due to lower costs within the business. This would also provide differentiation amongst our competitors, which would drive increased sales. Our firm could offer more frequent promotions with the increased profits from the many sources of cost reduction QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions naturally implements, such as broader marketing activities and offering better rates when purchasing business miscellanea, giving us access to more customers and more suppliers. These advantages increase our overall market share through enhanced service to our customers which gives us the competitive edge to overcome any new competition that emerges, as well as establish respected relationships with our peers in the industry. The increased profit margin through cost reduction of switching from our past system to QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions is above all the greatest added value the system brings forth.

The specific cost-benefit model of using QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions is unknown. However, it is our conclusive belief that relative to our current costs as well as the costs of similar products and services other information system producers provide, Intuit's products are the most efficient and effective resources for the price. Overall reducing the time factor will drastically reduce costs of operations across all business venues. As an example, we'll use the enhanced POS processing this system provides. Assume we have five front-line sales associates who are salaried at $50,000 per year. Using our current and presumably past system, each associate took an average of two minutes to service a customer per register sale. Now assume we integrate Enterprise Solutions which reduces that time by half. The estimated value is that of five additional employees or $250,000 in annual salary less the cost of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions, which ranges between $3,000 - $9,000, and $750 - $2,000 thereafter in annual upkeep. In this respect alone QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions pays for itself ten times over. An extensive business analysis would most assuredly reveal more benefits QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions provides, as it streamlines all business activities through one source, reducing time across the board for most processes.

In conclusion, QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions fully integrates business processes, from the executive level to the front-line transaction level. With this streamlined integration we would be able to reduce time for various functions within the business and increase our profit margin substantially. This leads to more opportunities for expansion and even further growth than we had previously forecast. We feel that QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions would be an impeccable investment and asset to our firm and request authority to purchase immediately and begin the transitioning processes.

Intuit: Company Summary
Appendix A


Scott Cook and Tom Proulx first founded Intuit in Mountain View, CA during 1983. Among the first in their system design was a product called Quicken. Quicken was a financial management tool used by a single individual to better manage personal finances. The product design was geared toward individuals who had little or no expertise in the fields of accounting or finance. Early on, Intuit made it a point to issue top-of-the-line customer service and support as well as molded their products to be as user-friendly as possible. Their customer oriented reputation coupled with their extremely useful personal finance tools spread quickly across the nation, making them a top competitor amongst similar system production companies and a best seller in 1988.

In 1993 Intuit went public, issuing stock to fund new capital expenditures and acquisitions such as the purchase of Chipsoft, a company that engineered tax preparation software. Towards the late 1990's, Intuit began competing with other big names such as Microsoft for market share revolving around their core products like Quicken. In response, Intuit established a web presence as well as put more emphasis on their other business solution products, such as QuickBooks and add-on software. With their esteemed customer service and award winning products Intuit continues to hold a strong grasp on the market, based on the positive growth trends of their shares which reflect the performance of the business.

Component Breakdown of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions
Hardware - Software - Data - Procedures - People
Appendix B


Hardware:

Recommended QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions requirements consist of a 2.0GHz processor for clients and 2.8GHz for servers. Minimum RAM requirements are 512MB for clients and 1GB for servers, although additional RAM is recommended when using multiple integrated applications with the system. More hardware will be needed to support growing operations; initial hardware costs are estimated at $1,000 minimum.

Software:

QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions is compatible with Windows XP (SP2) as well as Vista. Linux also will run server versions of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions beginning with version 7.0 or later. To prepare letters and export reports Microsoft Word and Excel 2000, 2002, 2003, or 2007 will suffice. To synchronize e-mailing with business contacts Microsoft Outlook 2000, 2002, 2003, or 2007 is required. Lastly, to make use of the Business Planner requires Adobe Acrobat Reader 5.0 or greater.

Data:

QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions has the capacity to hold hundreds of thousands of unique IDs. These IDs can be in the form of customers, employees, vendors, accounts, etc, and have almost endless descriptors for each ID. The data is secured and encrypted for optimal protection, with up to 10GB free of online backup storage provided by Intuit.

Procedures:

The procedures for use of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions are first extremely user-friendly. Users can add, update, and move existing data. Users may also print over hundreds of different reports that can be customized for specific needs at simply the click of a button. Intuit also offers a new business intelligence tool to further enhance procedures of use with the system. The BI tool allows businesses to view strategic analysis trends and forecasts through easily online, so that executives can see a working detailed summary of how the business is performing.

People:

A wide variety of people are involved in the application of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions. There are the users from all of the various departments of the business such as Sales, Marketing, Shipping/Receiving, Finance, and Operations. There are the customers and suppliers the firm sells and buys from. Also, the system engineers behind Intuit who provide the technical support and regular system updates for the system serve as an integral part of its functional application.

Case Study
Appendix C


This case study is a brief summary of a real world application of QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions to depict additional benefits that could be possible by adopting the system. (Note: Information taken from a testimonial from the Intuit website, see references)

Business: Energy Meter Systems (EMS)

Industry: Natural Gas Hardware Manufacturer

EMS is a company that previously used Peachtree, a similar system to manage business processes but not near as effective as QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions.

EMS has been up and running since 1985, producing a variety of hardware and equipment for use of measuring natural gas expenditures. Since July of 2006 they have been using Enterprise Solutions, and testify to the following benefits over their previously implemented information system

Extremely simple installation.
Minimal training at no extra cost, with a fully operational system in just under one month.
A massive decrease in time spent on tasks that used to take hours, but now take minutes.
Overall increased work efficiency of the firm across various departments.
Very user friendly and easier to accomplish business objectives.

References

"Account & Business Management Software - QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions."

Intuit - Personal Finance, Small Business & Tax Software. 2008. Intuit. 25 April 2008 http://quickbooksenterprise.intuit.com/

Energy Meter Systems, Download Case Study. "QuickBooks Enterprise Solutions Online

Resource Center." Intuit - Personal Finance, Small Business, & Tax Software.

2007. Intuit. 26 April 2008.

http://quickbooksenterprise.intuit.com/resources/case_studies.jhtml

"Intuit - Corporate Profile." Intuit - Personal Finance, Small Business & Tax Software.

2008. Intuit. 25 April 2008.

http://www.intuit.com/about_intuit/company_history.jhtml

"Intuit (INTU) Stock Research - Stock Quote, Charts, News, and Analysis"

Investing, Stock Quotes and Research, Personal Finance and Business News

InvestorGuide. 2008. InvestorGuide. 2 May 2008

http://www.investorguide.com/stock.cgi?ticker=INTU&more=0.

"/n software inc. - Ibiz QuickBooks Components." /n software inc. - The Leading

Provider of Internet Components. 2008. /n software inc. 25 April 2008.

http://www.nsoftware.com/ibiz/quickbooks/


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CNBC and covering the Apple <b>news</b> conference « Talking Biz <b>News</b>

Hal Morris, writing on his Grumpy Editor blog, likes how business news network CNBC covered Friday's news conference by Apple about its iPhone antennas, where no live broadcasts were allowed. Morris writes, “And that was the situation ...

Arrowheadlines: Chiefs <b>News</b> 7/19 - Arrowhead Pride

Welcome to another week. Your Kansas City Chiefs news waits below. Not too much today. Enjoy.

Bob Schieffer Defends Himself Against Fox <b>News</b> On New Black <b>...</b>

CBS News' Bob Schieffer defended himself against Fox News Sunday on CNN's "Reliable Sources." Schieffer, who interviewed Attorney General Eric Holder last weekend on "Face the Nation," came under fire from Fox News' Megyn Kelly for not ...


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Friday, July 16, 2010

personal finance money management





59 Responses to “Corporate America’s Pile-O-Cash”







  1. Barry Ritholtz Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 6:16 am

    Thank you Invictus — thought provoking stuff .








  2. Sonic Charmer Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 6:38 am

    Is it possible that you’re setting up a distinction without a difference?


    Business leaders say they’re not spending due to economic/political uncertainty. You’re saying No, it’s the lack of aggregate demand!


    Could not the latter be related to, indeed go hand in hand with, the former?








  3. dougc Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:06 am

    I agree 100%, to paraphrase someone “don’t waste a crisis, they should be used to promote your agenda”, obviously CEO’ s want their taxes to remain low. Corporations don’t expand their business based upon the marginal rates or capital gain taxes on employees. they expand to meet needs. Rich people have a habit of claiming all problems can be solved by lower tax rates, Rational people look at the results of Boy Bush and Clinton on employment gains and deficits and see the results of lowering tax rates.








  4. KentWillard Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:20 am

    Factory utilization is still low. House vacancies are high. Commercial real estate vacancies are high. Consumer debt to income is high. And the high dollar will slow US exports. Why on earth would most US businesses want to invest in labor, real estate, or capital equipment I’m such an environment? It has nothing to do with political perception and everything to do with economic reality.


    It is also frighteningly like Japan of the past two decades. Low interest rates. Private debt replaced by public debt. A series of plunges in equity and real estate prices. Firms saving massive amounts of money and hiring temp rather than full time permanent employees. And years of deflation.








  5. Mike in Nola Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:35 am

    The fact that consumer spending is 70% of GDP is one of out biggest problems. That was being propped up by unproductive activity in the housing bubble and by the big spenders who make money trading pieces of paper.


    R&D and plant improvements are neglected to please CNBC readers who are trained to react to a one cent surprise in earnings even when it comes at the cost of five cents next year because the company laid off key people to make those earnings.


    An example of the opposite thinking I heard about yesterday was MSFT’s xbox. It gets no respect because it spends huge amounts on R&D, with not everything making money, but some making long term big money. MS spent several billion developing and marketing the xbox for the past five years, always losing money on it. Many, including me, thought they were crazy. Well, it appears that the income stream for that one product has risen to over $1B this year and will likely grow more and have a fairly long tail, resulting in substantial future profits that would not have occured without the initial investment.


    We have no long-term way out of this trap without starting to actually make things again instead of trading goods and services around, with the goods coming from outside the US.








  6. rktbrkr Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:44 am

    Maybe because US is so weighted towards services and it’s the Chinese who make the capital investments to build stuff to fill Walmart. Maybe US corps are keeping their powder dry because they anticipate more hard times ahead – not profligate like individuals and governments.


    Is there any breakdown of the corporate hoarding by business type? I’m thinking big oil and the big tech cos are sitting on a lot of this money








  7. antisthenes Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:48 am

    For a man so proud of his ability to rationalise, you certainly do fall for some terrible old tautologies and fallacies when you get all macroeconomic on us.


    Sure, PCE is ~70% of GDP – -but only because GDP is largely defined to capture end consumption in the first place! That’s like saying 50% of the clothing I put on my feet are socks, so the rest of my wardrobe is irrelevant!


    If you compare the $10 trillion or so personal expenditure number (actually a meaningful amount lower if we throw out fantasy-land ‘imputations’ and stick to cold, hard cash components) with ALL the other spending that goes on in the economy you’ll find it comes to less than 30% of the sum, the difference being all those highly critical – and highly DISCRETIONARY – business outlays that get cancelled out of the GDP but which are responsible for moving all the goods and services up and down a multi-layered, divided-labour, specialized-function, ADVANCED economy – and generating all the non-government out-of-thin-air revenues and incomes which will be used to buy them.


    Not only is Biz spending not just the NET inventory adds and NET investment which the BLS & BEA fixate upon, but all the other cost-of-sales and SG&A stuff (which a business analayst, above all people, should be aware exists!).


    In here is where you find the real variability in the economy, with most of the rest being no more than its distant – and often muted – echo.


    Come on, BR, use that penetrating intellect of yours and stop parroting Mainstream Macro 101 to your readers, they deserve better.








  8. HEHEHE Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:49 am

    The more realistic presumption is that corp insiders know we are headed for another downturn and they will need that cash to operate. Nobody with a half a brain believes in this “recovery”. Why do you think they’ve been dumping shares into the stock market rally like fishermen bailing water out of a boat with a hole in it? They aren’t stupid. In the next year look for another collapse like in 2008. The cash on those balance sheets will be eaten through; you’ll have another stock market collapse or two; and Benny Bernanke will annouce QE II which will result in another stock market rally and a another round of secondary stock offerings by corps and ensuing amazement by addle brained political pundits at the amount of cash on corporation balance sheets.


    Did I miss anything?








  9. HEHEHE Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:55 am

    And you wonder why they never caught Madoff:)


    “Hundreds of Federal Agents Fall Victim to Ponzi Scheme”


    http://www.aolnews.com/crime/article/hundreds-of-fbi-dea-and-ice-agents-fall-victim-to-ponzi-scheme/19547371








  10. dead hobo Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:07 am

    Invictus,


    You nailed it. I can’t improve or criticize this piece.


    The next logical step would be to write about why demand is low, especially in spite of numerous gimmicks to inflate demand using public money, due to costs for commodities being likely overstated due to excess speculative demand and inept regulation, due to an utter lack of credibility that our financial markets have even a shred oh honesty and thus are safe to put personal savings into, or due to incompetent Fed management that prefers to ostensibly ignore credit availability for small business so that large banks can manage prop desks instead.








  11. stonedwino Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:09 am

    Doesn’t anyone see the connection here?


    Consumers are supposed to be 70% of the economy and spending, but the consumer can’t make ends meet; meanwhile corporate America with its lowest effective corporate tax rate at levels not seen since the 1950’s is hoarding $1.8 trillion dollars? Like I’ve mentioned before, we cannot have an economic recovery when the consumer is being squeezed on all sides while corporate America sits on hoards of cash that is not being used to re-invigorate the economy. We are not Japan, we are much worse….This does not look good for the country, capitalism or business….we have come to a point where the imbalances must be corrected and if the need be through higher taxation of those sitting on all those piles of cash…








  12. Mike in Nola Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:09 am

    Hussman has a good rant about the misallocation of resources and the earnings games in the second half of today’s comment:


    http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc100712.htm








  13. Mike in Nola Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:12 am

    Can’t even listen to Bloomberg radio. Feldstein is on telling us how we need to keep tax cuts for “everyone, ” i.e. the rich. It’s a “big cloud” hanging over “us.” Funny that taxes on the rich are always described as being on small businesses.








  14. jaywalker Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:30 am

    Thank God someone is still able to think. While whispered sentiments make good headlines, they don’t make good analysis; thank you for swimming above the toxic political pool that seems to infect so much of today’s “analysis”.


    Jay Walker

    The Confused Capitalist








  15. Mark Down Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:38 am

    Sitting on piles of cash..The new Preparation C.








  16. dead hobo Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:39 am

    BTW, it’s not only corporations that are sitting on piles of cash. My stash might not be as large as the ones you are writing about above, but it is certainly significant to me.


    My personal goal is to live as comfortably as possible without excessive spending, even when I can afford to buy something new or fun. It really takes a full mental reorientation to think on these terms. I don’t deny myself the things I regard as necessities, which would probably look like luxuries to some others. Rather, I constantly look at my life and try to identify where to save a few bucks. In other words, I have replaced a fine hobby of recreational spending and shopping with being frugal. My house is paid for. I don’t owe anyone a dime outside of current balances that are cleared monthly.


    Hunkering down is the only logical course of action. The government is incompetent at regulating financial markets and has created a place where the laws favor the crooks. I’m not putting any savings there unless we have another millennial dip. All it takes is a whining banker to scare Uncle Stupid into making the financial markets a better and safer place for fraudsters to operate without fear. Incompetent economists and business media that often performs as free public relations for commissioned wall street touts assist by being ignorant, stupid, complicit, corrupt, and useless in uncountable ways. In spite of all who complain, this will never change.


    I have no faith in government to do what it should be doing … making the markets safe for investors. They have degenerated into a crook’s and scammer’s paradise and will likely remain as such for many years to come.








  17. dead hobo Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:40 am

    Mark Down Says:

    July 12th, 2010 at 8:38 am


    Sitting on piles of cash..The new Preparation C.


    reply:

    ————-

    Cute, Things I wish I said.








  18. Minderbender Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:40 am

    Two points to complete the picture:


    1) Why is demand low? Uncertainty also on demand side (both consumers and businesses)


    2) Creative Destruction – much of the capacity will never be utilized, as the products that can be produced today will no longer be in demand tomorrow – the new capex spending ought to be the kind of investment for new, different, innovative products








  19. JusTryinTaMakeIt Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:41 am

    Excellent analysis. Meanwhile Judd(R), Cantor(R), and Bayh(D) are all on CNBC this morning, spouting the Republican talking points that business is not growing, because of all the “harsh” measures the Obama admin is imposing on business. Oh, I think Sarah is also part of that chorus!








  20. The Curmudgeon Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:57 am

    The political screeching on both sides is just white noise, even if Obama pretty clearly believes that government provides better solutions than markets. And so do his GOP opponents, no matter what bull they try to sell otherwise.


    The reason corps are sitting on piles of cash is because a) collapse of consumer demand; b) there’s nothing else to do with it; c) deflationary environment means cash is king.


    Is there a political solution to the problem? I doubt it, short of a major war to suck up/destroy excess product. Of course, you could just start bulldozing houses.








  21. tenaciousd Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:59 am

    “… take with a grain of salt what anonymous CEOs whisper into the ear of one of their stenographers.”


    Ouch!








  22. Greg0658 Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:59 am

    a 20 year plan to buy at pennies on the dollar .. or is it .. the 50 year plan – 1.5T dollar man reconstruction – we can build it better than it was before – no insurance dollars spent * – start from near scratch – a 22nd century infrastructure


    * na – it’s monday








  23. constantnormal Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 9:10 am

    I’m thinking about the charts in the recent Comstock Partners chartfest that show corporate debt rising to huge levels, and just beginning to fall back …


    So on the one hand, we have a huge corporate indebtedness, while at the same time we see companies raising record amounts of cash … does it seem to you that there is a certain lack of balance, a certain excess of individuality, a prevalence of “every company is an island” sort of thinking?


    If an “economy” is an assortment of people and companies working individually toward better futures for all, what happens when that dissolves into “me first, devil take the hindmost”?








  24. JustinTheSkeptic Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 9:19 am

    Tell them dam chinese making 90 cents an hour to come off their doe and spend it on American ingenuity! lol








  25. constantnormal Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 9:55 am

    Restore FASB 157, value worthless debts as worthless, and all this will unravel. The bankrupt will be wiped out, and the solvent companies will remain, and begin deploying their cash hoard in acquiring shards of bankrupt monsters for less than the cost to create similar functionality. The financial sector will shrink from its cancerous size and the economy will be in remission from financial cancer.


    Yes, it will be painful, and there is the chance that the patient may not survive the cure. But OTOH, there is a certainty that the patient will not survive the disease.








  26. DeDude Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 10:26 am

    Amazing how many people fail to understand the simple logic of business investment. If there are costumers to purchase the products then the business will invest and expand and if there are no costumers to purchase the product then they will not expand. The few companies that were run by “if we make it they (costumers) will come” idiots have long ago failed. The reason companies are not deploying their cash into expanding is that the consumer is not doing so well (unemployment, pay cuts, no overtime, etc.). But they may as well take a stab at the only president in recent times that was not a complete slave to the corporations.








  27. Bokolis Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 10:38 am

    “The demand problem we have on our hands is what is keeping companies’ spigots closed.”


    How, then, does demand get stimulated without putting money in the hands of consumers?


    Right…the problem does not lie in a cyclical slowdown of corporate spending/cash hoarding. The larger issue is that, for ages, it seems as if the corporate infrastructure spending is focused on decreasing headcount costs and squeezing more out of the remaining headcount.


    I don’t see technology improving to (my) satisfaction. But, no one with the talent to push technology would be caught dead working for (from BR’s follow-up) “Exxon Mobil, GE, Microsoft, Apple, Google, Cisco, Johnson & Johnson, Verizon, Altria, EMC, Disney, Oracle,” would they?


    Though, I wish one of them would go to work for Oracle…if only to build a product that isn’t shyte so I can get work done more quickly (giving me more time to fcuk off on here…I don’t want to show my hand regarding the upper limits of my productivity capability).








  28. Tony61 Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 10:44 am

    Yeoman’s work, BR. I heard Zakaria prattling on and on… and turned it off in disgust. When our thought leaders cannot think, it’s no wonder tea partiers cannot understand. Thank you for scrounging up all the charts and tables.


    BTW, just finished Bailout Nation– excellent. I had to wait several months for my own mental health to read all the nightmarish details, but it is well worth it.








  29. Invictus Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 10:50 am

    @Tony61


    Credit where it’s due, my friend. Check the byline, please. I’d like to think I bring something to the party…


    Invictus








  30. TDL Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 11:07 am

    DeDude,

    I’m pretty sure customers weren’t demanding electricity in their home before Edison effectively harnessed it. Sure, they would look for better ways to heat and light their homes, but at the end of the day if something is not built (created, innovated, invented, etc.) it will not be demanded. Your point is awfully simplistic.


    Invictus,

    You missed a critical point. Consumers are slowing the spending because debt loads are too high. Debt has to be extinguished before spending picks up. Then again, if you take the Krugman approach, the most effective way to deal with debt is accumulate more debt (at least at the national level;) then a recovery will kick in and you will be able to deal with the debt because the economy will be growing again! At least that’s what the neo-Keynsians say.


    Regards,

    TDL








  31. plantseeds Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 11:11 am

    constantnormal said..


    “Restore FASB 157, value worthless debts as worthless, and all this will unravel. The bankrupt will be wiped out, and the solvent companies will remain, and begin deploying their cash hoard in acquiring shards of bankrupt monsters for less than the cost to create similar functionality. The financial sector will shrink from its cancerous size and the economy will be in remission from financial cancer.”


    so true….and that would put an end to the double dip argument for sure and maybe give literal meaning to S&P 500.


    If there was demand, supply and thus investment would soon follow however if CEOs say they’re not investing because of uncertainty coming out of Washington then I suppose it’s possible.


    OTOH if there was a perceived “business friendly” administration and business then started investing as a result, despite lack of demand, would that create demand in the aggregate? Wasn’t that the whole idea of the economic stimulus effort? I’m not sure that works either.


    Bottom line…

    To quote Kevin Spacey in It’s a Bug’s Life, “The first rule of management: Everything is your fault.”








  32. Deborah Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 11:44 am

    Good post. I can’t stand the garbage conclusions that some people make. When I read the introduction I was going to debate the idiot conclusions of Fareed Zakaria’s with the exact points you raised.








  33. Invictus Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 11:46 am

    @antisthenes


    With all due respect, how am I to take seriously someone who can’t even read a byline?








  34. gman Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 12:11 pm

    Great work! Everything in the media is “someone powerful (or the pr agent of a powerful person) whispering in a reporters ear”…think of how people were duped in the lead up to the Iraq war!








  35. wngoju Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 12:21 pm

    finally read this. agree with, eg, gman. Great!








  36. TDL Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 12:22 pm

    Invictus,

    antisthenes still has an interesting argument. If I re-post, will you make a counter argument then?


    Regards,

    TDL








  37. steve from virginia Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 1:00 pm

    In the Potemkin Economy the outlook for financials is bleak due to off- balance sheet ‘difficulties’. Why should non- financials be any different?


    Financials can hold cash @ the Fed and earn some interest (and divert some to executives who hold cash in Antigua- Barbuda, Curacao and Singapore.) Commercials earn almost as much as deflation increases cash value relative to borrowing without the risk. (Cash is diverted to executives who hold cash in Antigua, etc.)


    The fact of the cash holdings is more eloquent than any other aspect. Neither financials or companies expect to produce anything. Financials cannot by nature and companies cannot see any opportunities that cost less than what the market prices can support.


    Money (cash) is now a stock not a flow. The outcome is (self- fulfilling) deflation which is the result/cause of the cash hoarding. Why deflation? Because the ‘tax burden’ to commerce is real energy price which has risen along with consumption. The cash curve tracks the GDP curve which also tracks the oil production curve. All have expanded exponentially since 1980 and Reaganomics and the massive expansion of US credit. Corporate cash represents the capture of some of that credit and its laundering into currency. The currency is a hedge against either the company’s own risk or the systemic risk that depletion- amplified deflation represents to all business.


    The only economic ‘activity’ is acquiring and holding money. With dollars being freely exchangeable on demand for petroleum, there is no alternative to gaining dollars as the primary cost of doing business.


    Of course, at some (deflationary) point holding dollars becomes the sole purpose of the business itself.


    With energy at the basis of all modern economic activity there is only one way for the various curves to bend as oil production declines. You can figure out the rest of this story by yourselves!








  38. pater tenebrarum Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 1:20 pm

    Unfortunately the so-called ‘regime uncertainty’ is a very real problem, no matter how ‘tired’ Barry is of hearing it. After all, ‘poor sales’ and ‘low capacity utilization’ do not just drop from the sky unbidden, as if they were a natural calamity like a hurricane. The bust is the result of an artificial credit boom imploding, but nonetheless the administration’s massive fiscal deficit spending policy – which makes future equally massive increases in taxation an inevitability – clearly contributes to worsening the bust.

    For more details read:

    Regime Uncertainty http://www.acting-man.com/?p=3820








  39. Monday links: better burgers Abnormal Returns Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 1:23 pm

    America’s big “pile of cash” is not the source of our economic problems.  (Big Picture,








  40. Brett Tibbitts Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 1:54 pm

    Don’t you think it’s a little simplistic and naive to state that the reason corporations aren’t opening their wallets is completely due to the demand side?


    Why is it so hard for so many on this site to see that Obama’s initiatives are not conducive to increasing employment in this country? A stimulous bill that is more concerned with keeping state government union jobs than truly benefitting the entire country. A health care bill that is so convoluted that no one will ever figure it out. A finance bill that is the same. All you can really know is that your costs are going up as a business owner.


    Obama is more concerned about suing Arizona than creating jobs. This is his comfort zone.


    And to top it all off, Obama, Pelosi and Reid won’t even tell us what the tax structure will be next year – and ya think this has absolutely nothing to do with corporations’ refusing to open their wallets? Please.








  41. Corporate American’s $2 Tn Cash Pile–Let’s Kill Some Corporate Ass « Phil's Favorites – By Ilene Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 2:17 pm

    about how much America’s 500 largest NON-FINANCIAL companies have on their books.  This is up about $500,000,000,000 from last year as 2010 has been very, very good for corporate








  42. beaufou Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 2:19 pm

    Isn’t the notion of a jobless recovery anti-business for those fearless CEOs.

    You would think that decently paid and employed people would boost sales, but by the time we get to any kind of normalcy, they’ll already have learned a lot about “productivity and efficiency” or how to profit a little more from human misery.

    And regulations and taxes are a bunch of cheap bullshit excuses they throw around to hide their disgusting behaviors; try giving more privileges to a bunch of free loading and bottom feeding aristocrats and see what happens, Louis the XVI can testify.

    Politicians and business elites are morally defeated, refusing to even imagine an alternative to their fundamentally flawed ways.


    Nice one Invictus.

    (thanks BR)








  43. DeDude Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 2:23 pm

    TDL, yes they diverted their money from a petroleum based lights to electricity based light. Businesses can and will always try to improve their products relative to the competition. Those types of investments are still going on and they are fairly unaffected by the economic climate (with the exception of a credit freeze)– because they are essential for the survival of a company (either you or your competitors develop a better product and, therefore, increase market share). So you are making my point; because there are always (more) costumers for a better product ,investments in making a better product are still occurring. The thing that has failed is investment in making more of the current products (new factories to increase production). That will only pick up when consumers start spending more.








  44. impermanence Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 2:30 pm

    The economy is sort of like a game of monopoly. When one player has almost all the money and all the property, the games is kind of over. The rest of the players can not continue to play until they accumulate enough $ which they can never seem to do because of all the fees, taxes, and other financials pitfalls.


    You always knew when you got to that point in the game when somebody would say, “it’s over.” Well, “it’s over” for real this time.








  45. Market Talk » Blog Archive » Links 7/12/2010 Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 5:27 pm

    in America,” a recent Washington Post op-ed says. But Big Picture blogger Barry Ritholtz disagrees with that premise. “Since we know that personal consumption expenditures comprise 70% of GDP,








  46. jyc3 Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 5:54 pm

    Invictus,


    I don’t necessarily disagree but a few questions come to mind:


    1. On the NFIB survey, do we have a breakdown on the types of companies in the survey? For instance, how many of them are in businesses that would benefit from higher capital spending? How many of them are in industries that are related, even peripherally, to real estate? Not knowing the composition of the survey group is a major problem in trying to draw a conclusion from the response. You can’t just assume that they only benefit from consumer spending.


    2. How much of the alleged spare capacity is now obsolete? We know that capacity and therefore capacity utilization is notoriously difficult to measure so I’d be careful depending on that data for anything.


    3. Are you saying that expectations of future policy play no role in the reluctance to spend? If not, how much is due to lack of demand and how much is due to “regime uncertainty” as it has been called elsewhere? If some of the reluctance to spend is due to policy uncertainty (or fear of higher taxes, more regulations, uncertainty about the ultimate cost of hiring a new employee due to implementation of health care reform, etc.) wouldn’t relieving some of that uncertainty be beneficial? Isn’t it possible that relieving that uncertainty would be enough to raise demand enough to get companies to invest?


    4. How much of the change in the rate of cash accumulation can be attributed to globalization and the reluctance of multinationals to repatriate profits and pay taxes? How much of this cash is sitting offshore avoiding taxes?


    I didn’t see the Zakaria piece and won’t read it. I’ve not found his analysis of foreign affairs or anything else particularly compelling. On the other hand just because the CEOs have a vested interest in putting this meme out there doesn’t mean there isn’t some truth to it. Not all industries have excess capacity right now and the ones that do, we might not want to stimulate (do we really want the construction industry expanding right now?). I think we could stimulate with monetary policy but I’m not sure we wouldn’t just get more malinvestment (as the Austrians call it) as we did with real estate the last time we tried that. The economy is not homogeneous and raw demand management may not help that much right now. It takes time for roofers to figure out how to do something else for a living. Having said that, supply side stimulation may not be much help either. It might be that we just need to tough this one out until the debt is paid down. Frankly, I think it would have been quicker if we had forced more defaults and made bank bondholders eat more losses rather than having the taxpayer pick up the tab for their lousy investment decisions. We compressed the amplitude of the recession with all these loss avoidance measures at the cost of extending the wavelength. There is no such thing as a free lunch.








  47. willid3 Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 5:57 pm

    some how I don’t see that there are more than 2 real consumers. as any business (no matter what they do) either sells to government (or to some one else who does at some point) or to end consumers (or to some one who does). other wise they aren’t really a business. an example is jet engines. no consumer ever buys one do they? but if they don’t buy tickets on airlines, then a lot fewer of them would ever be made, and mostly they would be for military aircraft (bought by government). and air express mail would never have happened with out the airlines, or the post office (aka the government).

    so the real reason for the demand drought is that consumers have been so over whelmed by debt, caused by shrinking incomes, because their pay hasn’t kept up with inflation in a decade, and only easy credit papers over this, in the last decade








  48. mathman Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 6:21 pm

    This is complete bullshit. The entire global economy is crashing and we all pretend it’s just fine. Anyone who thinks wealth comes from spinning the Wall Street lottery wheel while the Fed backs it up with round the clock printing (to cover the whole fraudulent system up) is delusional. It’s over. Those paper notes you and i have are glorified scrip and will become ever more worthless as time goes on. The entire economic system on which all this supposed wealth derives has a fatal flaw – that the environment from which is obtained all the raw materials for everything we do – has never been factored in to the costs and all too soon we’re going to pay the real price.








  49. beaufou Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 6:37 pm

    There Invictus, there are more anti-business people in Brussels.


    http://www.eact.eu/

    European Association of Corporate Treasurers


    This fine group of gentlemen are threatening to outsource jobs if derivatives regulations are voted in Europe.

    Apparently regulations would cause the next crisis, just like no regulations didn’t cause the last one.








  50. Invictus Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 6:56 pm

    @jyc3


    You ask many good, thoughtful questions, and I do not pretend to have all the answers. Not by a longshot (except perhaps to #1, which I could probably get from the NFIB).


    :-)


    My point here was to suggest that the equation: Corporate Cash at Record High = Obama anti-business is a flawed one, and to exhibit as best I could why that is the case. And I hate seeing the media allowing itself to be blatantly used.








  51. Invictus Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 7:20 pm

    @antisthenes


    Sure, PCE is ~70% of GDP – -but only because GDP is largely defined to capture end consumption in the first place!


    Could you support or elaborate on this? As to the rest of your rebuttal I would, as always, ask for some evidence to support your claims, just as I provided some evidence to support mine.








  52. Invictus Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:12 pm

    @All


    I appreciate the commentary here and the insight both for and against the position I’ve laid out.


    This piece was picked up over at Business Insider, where some of the responses serve to highlight what’s wrong with the discourse in our country today. Herewith three examples of the fact-based, data-driven “responses” to my post:


    There goes Barry shilling for Obama again. According to Barry, everything has been absolutely fabulous since Obama has come into office. I don;t understand why anyone would risk their reputation defending Obama.


    And


    Obama’s radical socialism is the reason I am not spending.


    My personal fave:


    Businesses aren’t spending their cash for two reasons


    1) Fear and uncertainty due to a marxist ‘nationalizer’ acting like a spoiled dictator in the White House.








  53. Sonic Charmer Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:23 pm

    Invictus,


    Far as I could see, you didn’t respond to my question in Comment #1. To rephrase: Why are the two claims ‘businesses aren’t spending due to economic/political uncertainty/instability’ and ‘consumers aren’t demanding’ deemed mutually exclusive? Why is the latter supposed to be some sort of rebuttal to the former?


    To state it explicitly: Couldn’t the reason for the lack of demand among consumers be exactly the same reason business leaders are giving – namely, economic/political uncertainty/instability?


    In what sense does your post and its claim about consumer demand contradict what the business leaders are reported to have said about Obama’s effect on the economic situation?








  54. Invictus Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 8:46 pm

    @Sonic Charmer


    There’s no way I can see and respond to every comment put up in response to something I post. Just not gonna happen. I do the best I can, but on what Barry pays me it just won’t fly. (Note to BR: We gotta talk raise soon.)


    That said, the answer to your question is, in my opinion, “no.” Consumers are hunkered down — and not “demanding” goods and services — because of the ongoing deleveraging that began several quarters ago and has some time to run. The era of frugality we’ve entered will be with us for some time to come.


    Businesses have been hoarding cash for a while — see the quote in my post from Kevin Warsh from 2006. Was there economic/political uncertainty/instability then? Clearly not, yet liquid asset levels continued to rise.


    Here’s another on-point comment from Richard Eskow’s column at HuffPo: “Here’s the bottom line: Any executive of a publicly-traded company who failed to spend the money needed to serve a ready-to-buy customer base would be violating her or his duty to stockholders and would probably be fired immediately.” In other words, if companies thought they could reap $1.50 by spending $1.00, the floodgates would be open. But they can’t, and that’s not Obama’s fault. The demand just isn’t there.


    One of the very, very few companies that seems to have found a formula to create its own demand is Apple, which I think we’d all agree does an exceptional job at marketing its products, in addition to making products that consumers crave. Beyond that, I just don’t know right now.








  55. philipat Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 10:08 pm

    So the solution is to get Americans buying useless cr*p from China again? I was sure that this consuption-driven model had been shown to be susopect and unsustainable? Perhaps a little more thrift and better focused investments might actually represent a better way forward?








  56. toddie.g Says:



    July 12th, 2010 at 10:41 pm

    @Impermanence. I think you make a great metaphor using the game of Monopoly to today’s economy. With wealth so concentrated to such a low percentage of the population, unless they invest that wealth in capital formation with abandon then everything just stagnates while all the other monopoly players have nothing.


    By having designed an economy that concentrates wealth at the very top, it leaves a dearth of spending as the super wealthy can only spend so much. As Bud Fox said, “how many yachts can you waterski behind?” If much of the excess wealth isn’t invested in new business, then it just sits idle, adding nothing.


    Another point. I admire Bill Gates’s and Warren Buffett’s great philanthropy, but given the changing times wouldn’t they do the world (and the United States) a whole lot of good by investing some of that money in new businesses, creating jobs and giving opportunity to others, much of it right here at home, than their present initiatives ? The Gates Foundation has very well-meaning initiatives, but they were designed before the economic collapse. I suggest that major philanthropists go back to the drawing board, and come up with some fresh ideas as to how best deploy those funds.








  57. Sonic Charmer Says:



    July 13th, 2010 at 6:26 am

    Thanks for the reply. I recognize one can’t/wouldn’t reply to all comments (or even any, necessarily), yet you seemed active in this thread otherwise, so I thought I’d ask.


    I’m still unclear on how what you’re is meant to be a contradiction of the claim that uncertainty is sidelining capital. You assert that consumers aren’t demanding ‘because of deleveraging’. I tend to agree. You say we are in for frugality for some time to come. I also agree. But if there is uncertainty about the future (including economic and political), this would naturally tend to lengthen the deleveraging period and keep people ‘frugal’ more than otherwise. No?


    It still seems to me that the two phenomena go hand in hand, rather than contradict. So far from being alternative/mutually exclusive explanations of capital ‘hoarding’, actually they could be said to have a common cause, that cause being precisely the one claimed by the unnamed ‘business leaders’ quoted in the article you reference.


    best,








  58. Tony61 Says:



    July 13th, 2010 at 11:37 am

    Invictus– Whoa! Sorry for not reading the by-line. Yes, yeoman’s work on this entry; excellent graphs and charts. Please accept my apologies, but rest assured that to be mistaken for BR is no insult. Thanks again for the useful info.








  59. Corporate Cash Has Been Piling Up Since 1982 | The Big Picture Says:



    July 15th, 2010 at 5:50 am

    want to add to Invictus’ commentary taking Newsweek’s International editor, Fareed Zakaria, to task. There are three facts that I












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How do you tell a relative to repay a loan without offending them? Is there a right way to use credit? Can you improve your credit score by taking out a loan?


Those are just a few of the questions that have recently provoked interesting discussions within the Mint Answers community.


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Below are three of the most popular questions for the past week. Find and ask (or answer) more at answers.mint.com.


How do I ask my brother for money he owes me?


Keep in mind, my brother is a full-grown adult. He’s owes me a couple thousand dollars. I don’t want to make him mad or feel like a loser but I kind of want the money. How can I bring up the topic without causing ill-feelings?


1. You might ask if he is willing to make payments to you. But you have to be somewhat confrontational and it might be awkward. Unless … you are willing to just forgive the debt. I’ve done my share of “loaning” people money in my past, and won’t do it again. I like to help, but in the end it doesn’t truly help because a lot of times we are enabling people to keep doing the things that keep them needing to borrow money. 


2. I tend to use public shame to get money back from my little brother, but he’s still in college and only owes me about $150 for gifts and stuff that we were supposed to “split” but he never reimbursed me for. 


More answers to this question>>


Is there a right way to use credit?


Is there a right or a good way to use credit? Or is using credit always a bad thing?


1. Depends on who you ask. You’ll find some people that say don’t ever use credit cards, because credit cards are always a bad idea. Others (like myself) will say credit cards are okay if you are tracking all your transactions and you pay off the balance completely every month, so that in effect you are using them like you would use a debit card.


Some people will say having a line of credit is good because you can use it in an emergency. But, I would say that is what your emergency savings is for.


The use of credit encourages an “I want it NOW” attitude. This type of selfish or immature attitude is usually considered negative. However, there ARE times when the use of credit may not only be necessary, but also okay: buying a home, a student loan, and a business loan.


2. In my opinion, the only good way to use revolving credit (like consumer credit cards) is by paying the balance off in full every month. If you start to spend more than you can afford and have to carry a balance and live paycheck-to-paycheck, your financial situation will go downhill from there.


The fact is, more and more business is being conducted online. I can’t tell you how many things I now buy from Amazon which I previously would have bought from a physical store. The vast majority of online retailers require payment via a credit card of some kind (or a debit card that can be used both ways). I still prefer an actual credit card because of the greater consumer protections it affords you.


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Will taking out a loan improve my credit score?


Right now I have two credit cards with a combined limit of $7,000. I use both cards and have paid them off regularly for about two years now. I have no other debt to worry about so far.


I really want to boost my credit score. I currently have a “fako” score between 694 and 766. Since all my debt/credit is revolving, I was thinking that taking out a loan would diversify my credit history/type. While rates are low, I was thinking about taking out a CD-backed secured loan. Will this help my credit score?


1. It depends on what is on your credit report specifically. You have the 2 credit cards, so you show you can pay revolving debt. My experience, having gone from average to excellent credit over the course of a few years, is that best thing you can do to build good credit is to pay your debts on time over a number of years. Stuff like revolving credit lines, not having excessive debt, etc. all helps, but the key is just pay your debts consistently; you will get to 800 quickly. 


2. How about changing your life and family by not worrying about or worshiping FICO?  Be weird and don’t live beyond your means like the rest of society.  Debt is the whole reason that our economy is in this mess in the first place.


3. If you start a CD or Savings Secured loan, you are paying interest on your own money! Not an ideal situation, but good if you need to build your credit score for one reason or another. I think, however, that you can have similar results by keeping your utilization lower. Use only 15% or less of your credit lines every month and pay off in full. Over time, this will have a greater effect on your score.


More answers to this question>>


Do you have a money question that you feel has no black-or-white answer? Go to Mint Answers and ask away! While you’re there, feel free to answer questions from other community members. Come back often, as we introduce new enhancements to this feature.


 





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Thursday, July 15, 2010

foreclosure auctions



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Eric Boehlert: When Does Fox <b>News</b>&#39; Ugly Race Baiting Become The Story?

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Wednesday, July 14, 2010

web internet marketing


Web 2.0, Facebook, LinkedIn, Mobile Marketing and YouTube are relatively new terms and yet, they have made a huge impact on our society and the way we live and do business.


If we are so engrossed in the current state of the Internet, then what is next?


According to Marketing in the Moment: The Practical Guide to Using Web 3.0 Marketing to Reach Your Customers First by Michael Tasner, it’s important for those who are marketers to engage in web 3.0 in order to be ahead of the competition.


Mr. Tasner claims that Web 2.0, which includes Facebook, LinkedIn, YouTube, blogging and other sites, have become “oversaturated.” He also states that there are many misconceptions, like for example, many people think that MySpace or Facebook is just for kids. He claims that web 2.0 has a lot of noise and is distracting and that the modes of interaction limit “human touch.” Lastly, he talks about how there is little or no privacy in these social networking sites.


He says that Web 3.0 is “the convergence of new technologies and rapidly changing consumer buying trends.”


The rest of the book talks about mobile marketing and how it will become an important component of one’s marketing plan. He believes this because mobile marketing is an opt-in service and can provide valuable coupons and freebies to consumers. For marketers, it’s just another way to lure in consumers to frequent their business. Mr. Tasner gives real tactics to use when implementing mobile marketing in a marketing strategy.


One of the areas I found particularly interesting was when he talked about how one can use mobile marketing for better customer service, such as reminders about events or promotions and interactions with your customers. The simplest way to do this is through text messaging, but you can put audio and video files in a text messages too.


Think about it: years ago, no one had a mobile device. When you saw someone on the street talking on the phone, you thought that person was “nuts.” Now, when you look around, almost every person you see has a mobile device. Mr. Tasner says that less than 6% of all businesses use mobile marketing and there is a tremendous opportunity.









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Friday, July 9, 2010

foreclosure statistics


"The U.S. health care system was already facing a shortage of approximately 150,000 doctors in the next decade or so, but thanks to the health care "reform" bill passed by Congress, that number could swell by several hundred thousand more Source: American Medical Association via thetruthwins.com"



The "source" was the AAMC, not the AMA. Your primary source, thetruthwins.com, states that the US "will likely face a shortage of as many as 150,000 doctors", whereas the WSJ article it references states,

"At current graduation and training rates, the nation could face a shortage of as many as 150,000 doctors in the next 15 years, according to the Association of American Medical Colleges."

A minor grievance and semantics it may be, but "could" is hardly the same as "will likely". However, the WSJ article cites the true cause of the shortage as the number of available resident positions, rather than the boom in newly covered patients, as the ultimate cause of doctor shortages.



"There is a shortage of medical resident positions...Teaching hospitals rely heavily on Medicare funding to pay for these slots. In 1997, Congress imposed a cap on funding for medical residencies, which hospitals say has increasingly hurt their ability to expand the number of positions."



To imply that the latest health care reform bill is the straw that breaks the camel's back is to be less than truthful. It may increase the doctor to patient ratio, but the shortage will never be resolved until this resident bottleneck is addressed. Also, in your same source article on thetruthwins.com, the author plainly states, "According to a survey published in a recent issue of the New England Journal of Medicine, nearly one-third of all practicing physicians in the United States may leave the medical profession because of the health care legislation that was just passed." This is libel, at best. The NEJM is not responsible for the study, and the provided link points to yet another link, stating "the opinions expressed in the article linked to above represent those of The Medicus Firm only. That article does not represent the opinions of the New England Journal of Medicine or the Massachusetts Medical Society." As an astute commenter on thetruthwins.com points out:



"That survey was reported on not published by the NEJM. Being published by them requires the survey to be peer reviewed, being reported requires it only be newsworthy. Reading the methodology of the study is has numerous problems the biggest being:

1. The sample wasn’t truly random.

2. There are no control questions."



I'll add to that that the Medicus Firm, the company that conducted the study, " highest quality permanent physician recruitment services to our clients." Their clients being hospitals or other facilities in need of medical staffing. A conflict of interest, to be sure, as it would be in the Medicus Firm's best interest to present the worst case scenario. When the impending mass exodus of doctors from the medical field does occur, why not hire a"a physician search firm that can produce timely and impressive results without creating undue financial strain"? Why not hire Medicus? Internet journalism at it's finest.


Black women have emerged triumphant in May’s official unemployment data, with a decrease of 10 per cent in unemployment from 13.7 per cent in April to 12.4 per cent in May.



Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics positioned black women as the strongest performing demographic in the decline of unemployment across race and gender categories.


There was no change to the rate of unemployment of white women, which might suggest a reduction to the large unemployment gap between black and white women.


However, since February  the unemployment rate of white women has decreased one percentage point to 7.4 per cent, while that of black women has fluctuated around a rate of 13 per cent. This represents a difference of approximately 65 per cent.




Additional data compared across the twelve months from May 2009 to May 2010 indicate that the amount of black women in employment fell almost 1 percentage point from 56.5 to 55.6.


Education was also a factor in last month’s data, as unemployment levels for those without a high school diploma remained three times higher than those who had graduated.


The 52 per cent gap between the unemployment rates of black and white teenagers however remained largely unchanged.


White teenagers suffer an unemployment rate of 24.4 per cent, while 37.3 per cent of black teenagers are currently without work.


US economic data has been positive in recent times. A survey by Manpower Inc. suggested that of the 18,000 employer participants, 18 per cent were considering increasing their staff in the third quarter.


Some areas of the country however are particularly unfavourable for black workers.


Economic Policy Institute, based in Washington, released a study Tuesday highlighting total black unemployment rates of 20.9 per cent, 20.4 per cent and 13.3 for Detroit, Minneapolis and St. Louis respectively.


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Friday, July 2, 2010

foreclosure auctions

Foreclosure Activity by Type

A total of 96,462 U.S. properties received default notices (NOD, LIS) in May, a 7 percent decrease from the previous month and a 22 percent decrease from May 2009. It was the fewest default notices since November 2008 and down 32 percent from the peak of 142,064 default notices in April 2009.

Foreclosure auctions (NTS, NFS) were scheduled for the first time on a total of 132,681 U.S. properties, a decrease of 4 percent from the previous month and down less than 1 percent from May 2009. The May 2010 total was down 16 percent from the peak of 158,105 scheduled auctions in March 2010.

Bank repossessions (REOs) hit a record monthly high for the second month in a row in May, with a total of 93,777 U.S. properties repossessed by lenders during the month — an increase of 1 percent from the previous month and an increase of 44 percent from May 2009. All 50 states posted year-over-year increases in REO activity.

Nevada, Arizona, Florida post top state foreclosure rates in May
With one in every 79 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing in May, Nevada continued to document the nation’s highest foreclosure rate despite a nearly 12 percent decrease in foreclosure activity from the previous month and a 16 percent decrease from May 2009. The state’s foreclosure rate was more than five times the national average.

Arizona foreclosure activity increased less than 1 percent from the previous month and was down nearly 5 percent from May 2009, but the state posted the nation’s second highest foreclosure rate for the second month in a row. One in every 169 Arizona properties received a foreclosure notice during the month — more than twice the national average.

One in every 174 Florida properties received a foreclosure notice in May, the nation’s third highest foreclosure rate, and one in every 186 California properties received a foreclosure notice in May, the fourth highest state foreclosure rate.

Foreclosure activity in Michigan increased nearly 6 percent from the previous month and was up 46 percent from May 2009, helping the state post the nation’s fifth highest foreclosure rate — one in every 223 Michigan properties received a foreclosure filing in May.

Other states with foreclosure rates ranking among the top 10 in May were Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Utah and Maryland.

Metro foreclosure hot spots continue to post annual declines
With a 1 percent increase in foreclosure activity from May 2009, Vallejo-Fairfield, Calif., was the only metro area with a top-10 foreclosure rate to post an annual increase in foreclosure activity. One in every 101 Vallejo-Fairfield properties received a foreclosure notice in May, the fourth highest foreclosure rate among metropolitan areas with a population of 200,000 or more.

All other metro foreclosure rates in the top 10 were in cities with declining foreclosure activity on a year-over-year basis: No. 1 Las Vegas was down nearly 18 percent; No. 2 Merced, Calif. Was down 7 percent; No. 3 Modesto, Calif., was down nearly 28 percent; No. 5 Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla., was down nearly 19 percent; No. 6 Stockton, Calif., was down 33 percent; No. 7 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif., was down nearly 29 percent; No. 8 Bakersfield, Calif., was down 19 percent; No. 9 Reno-Sparks, Nev., was down nearly 18 percent; and No. 10 Phoenix was down nearly 9 percent.







"That's a very good thing," said Thomas Lawler, an independent housing economist in Virginia. But he noted that even with that positive trend, "you are highly likely to see an acceleration in the number of actual completed foreclosures."



Lenders are offering to help some homeowners modify their loans. But many borrowers can't qualify or they are falling back into default. The Obama administration's $75 billion foreclosure prevention effort has made only a small dent in the problem.



About 25 percent of the 1.2 million homeowners who started the program over the past year had received permanent loan modifications as of April. About 23 percent of those enrolled dropped out during a trial phase that lasts at least three months. Many more are in limbo.



Among states, Nevada posted the highest foreclosure rate in May. One in every 79 households there received a foreclosure notice. However, foreclosures there are down 16 percent from a year earlier.



Arizona, Florida, California and Michigan were next among states with the highest foreclosure rates. Rounding out the top 10 were Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Utah and Maryland.



Las Vegas continued to be the city with the nation's highest foreclosure rate, but activity there was down 18 percent from a year earlier. And nine out of the top 10 cities with the highest foreclosure rates posted annual declines. The exception was the Vallejo-Fairfield area in California, where foreclosures were up 1 percent from a year ago.



Foreclosed homes are typically sold at steep discounts, lowering the value of surrounding properties. That's a concern for local communities, and a drag on the economic recovery.



In recent months, home prices have started to sink again after stabilizing last summer. Economists at Goldman Sachs predicted in a report last week that prices will fall about 3 percent nationally over the next year, with the largest declines in cities where mortgage defaults are rising.



"The housing market remains plagued by enormous excess supply," wrote Goldman economist Sven Jari Stehn.








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